Effect of rainfall on productivity of cotton
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.31783/elsr.2020.615663Keywords:
rainfall variability, cotton productivity, standard meteorological correlation, regressionAbstract
Study of rainfall and its effect on crop yield is very useful for crop planning for rainfed cash crop like cotton for farmers and policy makers in rainfed agriculture. A study was conducted to evaluate rainfall variability and its effect on Cotton yield for Junagadh district of Gujarat for seasonal, monthly, fortnightly and weekly rainfall by correlation & regression analysis. Arithmetic mean, standard deviation and coefficient of variation for seasonal rainfall was found as 982 mm, 349 mm and 36 % respectively. July month contributes about 40% of the total seasonal rainfall. Correlation coefficient between seasonal rainfall and yield was 0.66, while it was highest as 0.46 for September and lowest as 0.15 for August. For fortnightly rainfall, the highest correlation coefficient was founded as 0.64 for Fifth Fortnight (5F) and negative -0.27 for 1F. 31st Standard Meteorological Week (SMW) recorded highest correlation 0.65. The regression analysis revealed that predictability for seasonal, monthly and fortnightly rainfall was 43%, 55% and 84 % respectively, while it was 96% for weekly rainfall. 5 FN and 31st SMW were found most substantial in all above parameters.
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